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PUBLISHED: Mar 6, 2015 10:30pm

Pakatan days may be numbered due to PAS’ internal conflict, says analyst


G. Surach

Political analysts say PAS and MIC have seen factions appearing in their respective political parties but the upcoming PAS elections could shape Malaysian politics in times to come.

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KUALA LUMPUR March 6, 2015:

Although there is turmoil within political parties on both sides of the divide, Pakatan Rakyat’s days may be numbered, says independent analyst Prof Dr Hoo Ke Ping.

Commenting on the ongoing turmoil within PAS and MIC at the moment, Hoo said the factional crisis within the Islamic party would be more detrimental to Pakatan Rakyat than the factional crisis in BN’s Indian-based party.

“There are so many issues involved within PAS now as the friction between the liberals and ulama begins to tear the party apart.

“Although similar, the MIC situation is less dense as the concerns are solely towards the minority Indian support,” he told The Rakyat Post.

The hudud issue within PAS, Hoo said, could be game-changer in favour of Barisan Nasional, especially for Prime Minister Datuk Seri Najib Razak, should it be brought up to Parliament level after the Kelantan state sittings.

“The strong rumours of a BN-PAS cooperation has been brewing since the conclusion of the 13th General Election.

“Whether hudud is implemented or not, it could only boost Najib’s image as a champion of Malay unity,” he said, while admitting that despite the cost of Chinese votes should hudud be implemented, the overall Malay support would be boosted.

Saying that Najib will cement his position as Umno chief comfortably in the coming months after this, Hoo said that the fate of Pakatan Rakyat now rested with the hudud implementation and its upcoming party elections.

“The break up of Pakatan Rakyat could be imminent. With (Opposition leader Datuk Seri) Anwar Ibrahim in jail and the PAS being divided by factionalism, it could trigger a bigger discord should PAS president Datuk Seri Abdul Hadi Awang, who leads the ulama faction, emerge triumphant in the party elections,” he said.

Meanwhile political analyst Dr. Sivamurugan Pandian said that while currently both Pakatan Rakyat and BN were embroiled in a tumultuous political landscape, it would be the PAS elections that would determine the political landscape in the peninsula.

“Depending on any outcome, PAS will bounce back into the political scenario. However, the developments leading to the elections will be very interesting indeed and should be the one to watch out for.

“On hudud, the party may need some time to see whether the law can be enacted,” he said.

The associate professor from Universiti Sains Malaysia (USM) also said that despite the fractious infighting within PAS, it would not affect the upcoming Chempaka by-election.

“However, collaboration, especially with the DAP, will be tested throughout the period leading to the PAS elections, especially with the state assembly sittings on hudud to be discussed in a few weeks’ time,” he said.

On MIC’s fate. however, Sivamurugan said that the resolution to their crisis would depend on the High Court when it hears the case against the Registrar of Societies (RoS) on Monday.

“The court case would only serve to extend the MIC crisis unless the court dismissed both the judicial review applications,” he said.

He added that if the party resolved its woes immediately, it would be able to effectively try winning the support from the Indian community.



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